Utah
W-L: (25-26) PR = 94.8075Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Fresno State MW ( 9-14, 93.3) 8- 3 214 A Fresno State MW ( 9-14, 93.3) 5- 4 215 A Fresno State MW ( 9-14, 93.3) 8-14 217 A Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 11-16 219 H Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 1- 7 220 H USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 4- 5 221 A San Diego State MW (15-16, 92.9) 7- 0 222 H Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 9- 4 227 A UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 2- 7 228 A UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 1- 7 301 A UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 1-12 302 H Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 13-13 306 A UNLV MW ( 7- 9, 91.7) 9- 0 307 H Grand Canyon MW (11-16, 93.1) 1- 0 308 H Grand Canyon MW (11-16, 93.1) 4- 0 309 H Grand Canyon MW (11-16, 93.1) 7- 2 313 H Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 6- 8 314 H Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 7- 6 315 H Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 8- 7 317 H Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 8- 5 320 A Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 4-13 321 H Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 10-13 322 A Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 13-11 324 H BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 5- 6 327 H Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 5- 8 328 H Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 13-11 329 H Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 16-14 331 A Utah Valley WAC ( 7-15, 91.5) 15- 9 402 A Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 12-14 403 A Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 9-14 404 A Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 9-13 410 H Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 10- 1 411 A Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 13-14 412 A Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 2- 5 417 H Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 10- 3 418 H Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 12- 2 419 H Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 6- 3 421 H Utah Valley WAC ( 7-15, 91.5) 16- 9 424 H UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 2-12 425 H UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 4-12 425 H UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 0-10 430 A BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 4- 6 501 A BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 8- 1 502 A BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 8- 3 505 H Utah Valley WAC ( 7-15, 91.5) 9- 5 508 A TCU B12 (32-21, 95.9) 0- 3 509 A TCU B12 (32-21, 95.9) 1- 3 510 A TCU B12 (32-21, 95.9) 3- 4 512 H Utah Tech WAC (12-10, 93.3) 16- 9 514 A Air Force MW ( 5-13, 94.9) 8- 4 515 A Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 3- 3 516 H Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 10-11 519 H Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 5- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Fresno State 8- 3 5 1 ++ 4.14
214 A Fresno State 5- 4 1 1 0.14
215 A Fresno State 8-14 -6 1 --- -6.86
217 A Eastern Kentucky 11-16 -5 3 --- -7.92
219 H Hawai'i 1- 7 -6 2 --- -7.83
220 H USC 4- 5 -1 -2 1.01
221 A San Diego State 7- 0 7 1 ++ 5.80
222 H Creighton 9- 4 5 1 + 3.93
227 A UC Santa Barbara 2- 7 -5 -2 - -2.87
228 A UC Santa Barbara 1- 7 -6 -2 - -3.87
301 A UC Santa Barbara 1-12 -11 -2 --- -8.87
302 H Lipscomb 13-13 0 3 - -3.24
306 A UNLV 9- 0 9 2 +++ 6.55
308 H Grand Canyon 4- 0 4 2 1.61
309 H Grand Canyon 7- 2 5 2 + 2.61
313 H Arizona 6- 8 -2 2 - -3.66
314 H Arizona 7- 6 1 2 -0.66
315 H Arizona 8- 7 1 2 -0.66
317 H Washington State 8- 5 3 1 1.53
320 A Cincinnati 4-13 -9 -3 --- -6.36
321 H Ohio State 10-13 -3 0 - -3.45
322 A Cincinnati 13-11 2 -3 ++ 4.64
324 H BYU 5- 6 -1 1 -1.73
327 H Kansas State 5- 8 -3 -1 -1.87
328 H Kansas State 13-11 2 -1 + 3.13
329 H Kansas State 16-14 2 -1 + 3.13
331 A Utah Valley 15- 9 6 3 + 3.32
402 A Kansas 12-14 -2 -3 1.01
403 A Kansas 9-14 -5 -3 -1.99
404 A Kansas 9-13 -4 -3 -0.99
410 H Santa Clara 10- 1 9 2 +++ 6.91
411 A Arizona State 13-14 -1 -4 + 2.51
412 A Arizona State 2- 5 -3 -4 0.51
417 H Texas Tech 10- 3 7 0 +++ 7.31
418 H Texas Tech 12- 2 10 0 +++ 10.31
419 H Texas Tech 6- 3 3 0 + 3.31
421 H Utah Valley 16- 9 7 4 + 2.97
424 H UCF 2-12 -10 -1 --- -9.49
425 H UCF 4-12 -8 -1 --- -7.49
425 H UCF 0-10 -10 -1 --- -9.49
430 A BYU 4- 6 -2 -1 -1.38
501 A BYU 8- 1 7 -1 +++ 7.62
502 A BYU 8- 3 5 -1 ++ 5.62
505 H Utah Valley 9- 5 4 4 -0.03
508 A TCU 0- 3 -3 -2 -1.20
509 A TCU 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.20
510 A TCU 3- 4 -1 -2 0.80
512 H Utah Tech 16- 9 7 2 ++ 4.77
514 A Air Force 8- 4 4 -1 ++ 4.77
515 A Loyola Marymount 3- 3 0 3 - -3.17
516 H Baylor 10-11 -1 1 -1.76
519 H Kansas State 5- 9 -4 -1 - -2.87
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 A Fresno State 8-14 -6 1 --- -6.86 217 A Eastern Kentucky 11-16 -5 3 --- -7.92 219 H Hawai'i 1- 7 -6 2 --- -7.83 301 A UC Santa Barbara 1-12 -11 -2 --- -8.87 320 A Cincinnati 4-13 -9 -3 --- -6.36 424 H UCF 2-12 -10 -1 --- -9.49 425 H UCF 4-12 -8 -1 --- -7.49 425 H UCF 0-10 -10 -1 --- -9.49 227 A UC Santa Barbara 2- 7 -5 -2 - -2.87 228 A UC Santa Barbara 1- 7 -6 -2 - -3.87 302 H Lipscomb 13-13 0 3 - -3.24 313 H Arizona 6- 8 -2 2 - -3.66 321 H Ohio State 10-13 -3 0 - -3.45 515 A Loyola Marymount 3- 3 0 3 - -3.17 519 H Kansas State 5- 9 -4 -1 - -2.87 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 A UNLV 9- 0 9 2 +++ 6.55 410 H Santa Clara 10- 1 9 2 +++ 6.91 417 H Texas Tech 10- 3 7 0 +++ 7.31 418 H Texas Tech 12- 2 10 0 +++ 10.31 501 A BYU 8- 1 7 -1 +++ 7.62 213 A Fresno State 8- 3 5 1 ++ 4.14 221 A San Diego State 7- 0 7 1 ++ 5.80 322 A Cincinnati 13-11 2 -3 ++ 4.64 502 A BYU 8- 3 5 -1 ++ 5.62 512 H Utah Tech 16- 9 7 2 ++ 4.77 514 A Air Force 8- 4 4 -1 ++ 4.77 222 H Creighton 9- 4 5 1 + 3.93 309 H Grand Canyon 7- 2 5 2 + 2.61 328 H Kansas State 13-11 2 -1 + 3.13 329 H Kansas State 16-14 2 -1 + 3.13 331 A Utah Valley 15- 9 6 3 + 3.32 411 A Arizona State 13-14 -1 -4 + 2.51 419 H Texas Tech 6- 3 3 0 + 3.31 421 H Utah Valley 16- 9 7 4 + 2.97 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Fresno State ( 9-14, 93.3) 8- 3 -6.63 11.79 0.68 0.55 13.61
3 A Fresno State ( 9-14, 93.3) 5- 4 -6.63 11.79 0.68 0.55 13.61
3 A Fresno State ( 9-14, 93.3) 8-14 -6.63 11.79 0.68 0.55 -1.62
3 A Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 11-16 -8.69 9.74 0.68 0.55 -2.19
3 H Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 1- 7 -6.25 12.18 -0.68 0.55 -1.89
3 H USC (43-22, 97.5) 4- 5 -2.41 16.02 -0.68 0.55 -0.84
3 A San Diego Stat (15-16, 92.9) 7- 0 -6.97 11.46 0.68 0.55 13.24
3 H Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 9- 4 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.55 13.39
3 A UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 2- 7 -3.64 14.78 0.68 0.55 -0.81
3 A UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 1- 7 -3.64 14.78 0.68 0.55 -0.81
3 A UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 1-12 -3.64 14.78 0.68 0.55 -0.81
3 H Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 13-13 -7.65 10.77 -0.68 0.55 0.00
3 A UNLV ( 7- 9, 91.7) 9- 0 -8.21 10.21 0.68 0.55 11.88
3 H Grand Canyon (11-16, 93.1) 1- 0 -6.81 11.62 -0.68 0.55 11.94
3 H Grand Canyon (11-16, 93.1) 4- 0 -6.81 11.62 -0.68 0.55 11.94
3 H Grand Canyon (11-16, 93.1) 7- 2 -6.81 11.62 -0.68 0.55 11.94
3 H Arizona (17-36, 93.8) 6- 8 -6.08 12.35 -0.68 0.55 -1.84
3 H Arizona (17-36, 93.8) 7- 6 -6.08 12.35 -0.68 0.55 12.74
3 H Arizona (17-36, 93.8) 8- 7 -6.08 12.35 -0.68 0.55 12.74
3 H Washington Sta (13-18, 94.0) 8- 5 -5.89 12.53 -0.68 0.55 12.94
3 A Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 4-13 -3.13 15.29 0.68 0.55 -0.67
3 H Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 10-13 -4.87 13.56 -0.68 0.55 -1.51
3 A Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 13-11 -3.13 15.29 0.68 0.55 17.43
3 H BYU (28-27, 94.7) 5- 6 -5.15 13.28 -0.68 0.55 -1.59
3 H Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 5- 8 -3.28 15.14 -0.68 0.55 -1.08
3 H Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 13-11 -3.28 15.14 -0.68 0.55 15.79
3 H Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 16-14 -3.28 15.14 -0.68 0.55 15.79
3 A Utah Valley ( 7-15, 91.5) 15- 9 -8.45 9.98 0.68 0.55 11.63
3 A Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 12-14 -2.76 15.66 0.68 0.55 -0.57
3 A Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 9-14 -2.76 15.66 0.68 0.55 -0.57
3 A Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 9-13 -2.76 15.66 0.68 0.55 -0.57
3 H Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 10- 1 -6.51 11.91 -0.68 0.55 12.27
3 A Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 13-14 -2.26 16.17 0.68 0.55 -0.43
3 A Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 2- 5 -2.26 16.17 0.68 0.55 -0.43
3 H Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 10- 3 -4.11 14.32 -0.68 0.55 14.89
3 H Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 12- 2 -4.11 14.32 -0.68 0.55 14.89
3 H Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 6- 3 -4.11 14.32 -0.68 0.55 14.89
3 H Utah Valley ( 7-15, 91.5) 16- 9 -8.45 9.98 -0.68 0.55 10.15
3 H UCF (29-26, 96.0) 2-12 -3.91 14.52 -0.68 0.55 -1.25
3 H UCF (29-26, 96.0) 4-12 -3.91 14.52 -0.68 0.55 -1.25
3 H UCF (29-26, 96.0) 0-10 -3.91 14.52 -0.68 0.55 -1.25
3 A BYU (28-27, 94.7) 4- 6 -5.15 13.28 0.68 0.55 -1.22
3 A BYU (28-27, 94.7) 8- 1 -5.15 13.28 0.68 0.55 15.23
3 A BYU (28-27, 94.7) 8- 3 -5.15 13.28 0.68 0.55 15.23
3 H Utah Valley ( 7-15, 91.5) 9- 5 -8.45 9.98 -0.68 0.55 10.15
3 A TCU (32-21, 95.9) 0- 3 -3.97 14.45 0.68 0.55 -0.90
3 A TCU (32-21, 95.9) 1- 3 -3.97 14.45 0.68 0.55 -0.90
3 A TCU (32-21, 95.9) 3- 4 -3.97 14.45 0.68 0.55 -0.90
3 H Utah Tech (12-10, 93.3) 16- 9 -6.65 11.78 -0.68 0.55 12.12
3 A Air Force ( 5-13, 94.9) 8- 4 -5.00 13.42 0.68 0.55 15.39
3 A Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 3- 3 -8.93 9.49 0.68 0.55 0.00
3 H Baylor (26-27, 94.7) 10-11 -5.18 13.25 -0.68 0.55 -1.60
3 H Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 5- 9 -3.28 15.14 -0.68 0.55 -1.08
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307.23
|
winning pts = 335.8134 losing points = -28.5803
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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